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The Narcocene

ENVS 220, FALL 2018

Could a reduction in illicit drug trade reduce the impacts of deforestation?
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Photos show overhead views of a forest landscape in Northern California, where forest land has been cleared illegally to set up small drug farms. 

Photos taken by Humboldt County Third District Supervisor, Mark Lovelace, and retrieved on Mad River Union's page.

Budding Explorations-

      In wrapping up our guided research of The Anthropocene and The Capitalocene as theories of explanation of the current era and environmental impacts, we now have the opportunity to shift our research to a third and final topic of choice. For this final situated project, our attention, and thus research, has been drawn to understanding how negative environmental impacts have occurred due to the illicit drug industry. This $400B+ a year global industry, while hard to track and keep informed data on due to its dubious and closeted nature, has inarguably caused environmental harm through its processes of production, distribution, and use. Various species and landscapes are being threatened, putting a strain on biodiversity and changing levels of overall Environmental Justice for many Indigenous peoples. Thus posing my framing question: “Could a reduction in illicit drug trade reduce the impacts of deforestation?”

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Gathering the Framework-

     In exploring this newly hypothesized era that we refer to as The Narcocene, we found a particular interest in the illicit drug industry in Mexico, specifically due the active amount of attention that the United States government and news broadcasters place on drug war violence there (not to mention current political tensions and border security that is influenced by this). Thus, while we are framing this global issue in hopes of better understanding, we will be focusing on situated fluctuations in Mexico. Through the use of various reputable sources, collected in our online library on a database host site called Zotero, we use this approach to delve deeper into the forest loss and biodiversity impacts associated with the illicit drug industry in Mexico. By doing so to learn more about these various drivers of environmental degradation, we found ourselves revisiting the same vital question

 

How do the impacts of deforestation fluctuate between areas more or less influenced by the illicit drug trade?

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      In beginning to research any new topic of which we have little understanding, sources of information are crucial. Our first step in confronting our concept of a newly hypothesized era was to narrow down the type of sources that we would be using for research. We agreed that any sources we used must be either published books, or peer reviewed articles/ highly cited publications (at least 200 or recent and relevant). Our two starting sources/search engines were Google Scholar and the Lewis and Clark College Watzek Library, each providing us with a multitude of reputable sources for free access online. After establishing our source engines and types of sources to look for, we had to also decide where to begin our research in order to identify key references. Our focus was to find articles that referenced Mexico, the illicit drug industry, and environmental crises, or as many of the three as possible, in order to connect our situated context in the broader light of our framing question.

      In order to save and share our sources, we utilized an application called Zotero to create a virtual library that we could all access and edit. Titling our library, “The Narcocene” it stores over twenty publications (articles, books, etc) that we believe are key resources in addressing and connecting our framing question and situated context. We then sorted our library using ‘tags,’ which label each reference as being more helpful in addressing our overall framing question that drives our research, or in addressing and formulating our focus question. In addition, we edited the abstract of each source to include not only a short summary, but a possible connection in how each source is crucial during our research over the next few weeks. 

(See Lab Ten for more information)   

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Figures One and Two display an ANT map created on Cmap, linking various actions and actors playing significant roles in the Narcocene

Mapping the framework-

     Before fully unpacking our sources gathered thus far in our current library, we approached each with the  obvious correlation between the illicit drug industry and environmental degradation. Through a basic work through of the twenty sources in our library, we started to map possible ideas and relations between various important actors and actions. We made lists of those roles in The Narcocene, and then grouped each into a category, situating framework and focus topics (as we did in our library with tags). Using this, we began working through the information via a type of correlation map known as the actor-network theory, or ANT, which "focuses on the relations between issue-specific actors and processes that connect these agents in networks" (Jim Proctor). Through visual interpretation created on the Cmap program, we have hypothesized that forest lost is mainly associated with drug production and distribution. There also seems to also be a more impactful strain on biodiversity in areas where a combination of production and trafficking are more prevalent. 

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Next Steps in Methodologies-

In stepping beyond conceptualizing, we first reviewed our

framing and focus questions to indubitably portray our  intentions for conducting this research. Through the finalization of our ANT map and questions, the nexts steps in determining our methodologies included first retrieving data on forest loss illicit drug trade prevelence in the different states of Mexico. In order to better portray correlations, we have created visual maps through ArcGIS, through which we identified hotspots of the drug trade, including near Las Margaritas in the state of Chiapas and Culiacán in the Sinaloa state. Ideally, we would have 3 study areas in heavily drug-impacted areas and 3 in less impacted areas. All 6 sites would have been impacted by deforestation. After narrowing down our specific small areas of study, we would go to those locations and administer an in-person, door-to-door survey. Hopefully, this random selection of respondents would create a representative sample of these communities. This survey would ask qualitative questions about the causes and effects of deforestation seen by the local people, and gather quantitative data surrounding perceived importance of each impact and how concerned the respondents are about the effects of deforestation. We would expect to spend two days surveying in each location, for a total survey time of about 2 weeks. After gathering this data, we would perform a content analysis of the qualitative/open-ended questions, and do an inferential statistical analysis on the questions that provided numerical data. These results would hopefully shed some light on how the effects of deforestation differ in areas with high drug activity and low drug activity. At each location, we would also collect microclimate data using Kestrel drops (see Lab One for more information on Kestrel readings) for different sample areas that have either been recently deforested or contain intact forest. This would provide background empirical data surrounding the climatic effects of deforestation that we could use to bolster our argument.

     

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Figure Three: Retrieved via Flickr

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Figures One and Two: World map of Forest Loss Depletion in each country*   

Correlating Data In Mexico Through ArcGIS

Figures Three and Four: ArcGIS mapping of drug war related deaths in Mexico, 2010*

Key- Warmer colors and larger shapes resemble more deaths/activity.

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Key- Darker shades resemble more tree cover loss.

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Figures Five and Six: ArcGIS mapping of forest loss and drug war related deaths in Mexico, 2010 *  

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Key- Larger circles resemble more drug war deaths/activity.

Figures Seven and Eight: ArcGIS mapping of Biodiversity hotspots (areas under threat) and drug war related deaths in Mexico, 2010 *

Research Itinerary: A Six Week Plan

01-02

-Determine six survey locations & arrive at first three

-Set up Kestrel drops for 24 hours & administer in-person surveys     

regarding issues faced due to deforestation

03-04

-Arrive at final three locations

-Set up Kestrel drops for 24 hours & administer in-person surveys     

regarding issues faced due to deforestation

05-06

-Analyze data possible significance

with which paired t-test & map results will be run

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Implications: 

If we find that areas experiencing impacts of forest loss due to the illicit drug industry are, in turn, suffering from such, our research could indicate that cracking down on the production and distribution of drugs might reduce the effects of forest fragmentation, and furthermore, the deducted community and overall environmental impact.

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*Data for maps retrieved from the following sources (see annotated bibliography for more information):

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Worldwide Forest Loss- http://www.worldbank.org

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Drug War Activity/Murders- https://www.gob.mx/presidencia/?DNA=119

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Mexico Forest Loss and Biodiversity Hotspots- www.globalforestwatch.org

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Figure Eleven: Photo of poster created to present proposal situated research

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